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6. Earthquake prediction
To accurately predict the sequence of ground oscillations, we would need to know not only the details of the seismic source (i.e. the location of the activated fault, its size, geometry and the details of its asperities), but also the details of the environment in which the vibrations propagate (which can attenuate them to a greater or lesser extent, and disturb them, like site effects). As these source and propagation details are unknown, such a calculation is impossible.
6.1 How do you make predictions?
Seismic prediction involves trying to predict the location and timing of a destructive earthquake.
Several predictions are thus defined:
in the long term (several decades), enabling the definition...
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Earthquake prediction
State earthquake policy
Standards and norms
- Dispositifs antisismiques - NF EN 15129 - Mai 2018
- Earthquake-resistant construction rules – Earthquake-resistant construction of single-family homes and similar buildings – Field of application – Design – Execution - NF P06-014 - Mars 1995
- Earthquake-resistant construction rules – PS rules applicable to buildings, known as PS 92 rules - DTU NF P06-013 - Décembre 1995
- Eurocode 8 – Designing structures...
Regulations
Code de la construction et de l'habitation (regulatory part) : Chapter 2 – Special provisions – Section 1. Special provisions relating to seismic risk prevention – Article R. 112-1
Environment Code: articles R. 563-1 to R. 563-8 on seismic risk prevention
Highway code: articles L. 122-1 and L. 151-1
Highway code: article L. 110-3
...
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