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3. Classic forecasting methods
3.1 Deductive and inductive methods
Forecasting analysis methods can be divided into two main families, which differ in their reasoning techniques:
bottom-to-top methods start from the causes of failures and work their way up to the consequences to be avoided;
deductive methods, on the other hand, are top-to-bottom: they start with the undesirable event and look for all the causes likely to lead to it.
In order to implement these methods, it is essential to break down the system hierarchically, either physically or functionally. Some of these methods enable us to quantify the probabilities of risks incurred (provided we have access to quality feedback, i.e. reliable feedback backed...
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Classic forecasting methods
Advanced forecasting methods
Bibliography
Software tools
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IMDR, portal of the Institute for Risk Management, operational safety-management-cyndinics
AFNOR, portal of the French Association for Standardization
IEC, portal of the International electrotechnical...
Standards and norms
- Value management – Vocabulary – Terms and definitions - NF EN 1325 - Avril 2014
- Guide pour l'élaboration d'un cahier des charges fonctionnel (expression fonctionnelle du besoin) [annulée le 20 décembre 1991] - X50-151 - Juin 1984
- Analysis of failure modes and their effects (FMEA and FMEA) – Failure Mode and Effect Analysis (FMEA) - NF EN IEC 60812 - Octobre 2018
- Risk management – Risk assessment...
Other regulations
- Procedures for performing a failure mode, effects and criticality analysis - MIL–P–1629 - 1949
- Procedures for performing a failure mode, effects, and criticality analysis - MIL-STD-1629A - 1980
- Military handbook : reliability prediction of electronic equipment - MIL-HDBK-217F (notice 2) - 1995
- Potential failure mode and effects analysis in design (design FMEA), potential failure mode and effects...
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