Article | REF: AF612 V1

Markov chains

Author: Jean LACROIX

Publication date: October 10, 2008

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ABSTRACT

The concept of the chain was introduced in 1902 by Andrei Markov in order to formalize epistemologic and encryption issues. Later, around the years 1940-1950, a much better and adapted formalism appeared, offering effective operating modes inspired by the general theory of stochastic processes and the potential theory. This presentation is basic and only requires a basic knowledge in probabilities. Examples illustrate the theory leading to generic algorithmic approaches: algorithms for invariant measures, dynamic programming and hidden Markov chains.

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 INTRODUCTION

The notion of chain was introduced in 1902 by Andrei Markov to formalize problems of epistemology and encryption.

The state space was then finite, and for a long time many users were content with matrix manipulations, which quickly reached their limits, even with today's computing resources. It wasn't until the 1940s-1950s that a much better adapted formalism appeared, proposing effective operating modes inspired by the general theory of stochastic processes and potential theory. The presentation here is deliberately elementary, requiring only a basic knowledge of probability. Indeed, we restrict ourselves here to a countable state space and make no use of more elaborate concepts such as filtrations or martingale theory. The notion of Markov dependence is very intuitive; on the other hand, computational techniques require more dexterity and training. For this reason, a large number of proofs and examples are provided, to enable the reader to practice manipulating new tools. A few proofs are also written to compensate for the heaviness of certain presentations, mainly those described in paragraph . As far as applications are concerned, which are extremely numerous, we have chosen a few examples which lead to generic algorithmic procedures, relatively recent and in widespread use: algorithms for finding invariant measures (Propp-Wilson, Metropolis), dynamic programming (Bellman) and hidden Markov chains (E.M.).

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Markov chains