Article | REF: BE8530 V2

Solid fuels. Coal - Economics and Resources

Authors: Sylvie CORNOT-GANDOLPHE, Jean-Marie MARTIN-AMOUROUX

Publication date: July 10, 2012

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4. Global outlook

4.1 Scenarios 2035

Future coal demand is highly uncertain. In its World Energy Outlook 2011 , the International Energy Agency proposes three highly contrasting scenarios (table 9 ). According to the New Policies Scenario, coal demand would increase by 24% between 2009 and 2035. According to the Current Policies Scenario, it would increase by 65%, and according to the 450 Scenario, it would decrease by 30%, again with reference to 2009. This represents a difference of 4,433 Mtec between the highest and lowest scenarios, equivalent to current consumption....

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